NOBEL PREDICTIONS
Who will win the next Nobel Prize? Can the winners of this illustrious prize be correctly predicted? Since 1989, Thomson Reuters has developed a list of likely winners in medicine, chemistry, physics, and economics. Those chosen are named Thomson Reuters Scientific Laureates — in recognition of the significant contribution their citations make to the navigation within the Web of Science®.
See how the Citation Laureates are chosen — and whether the process used is an effective predictor of whether the Laureates will, indeed, win a Nobel Prize.
Poll Results
Who do you think will win the Nobel Prize in Physiology/Medicine?
Elizabeth Blackburn, Carol Greider, and Jack Szostak – 48%Seiji Ogawa – 14%
Fred H. Gage – 11%
Rory Collins and
Sir Richard Peto – 5%
Other – 21%
Who do you think will win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry?
Michael Gratzel – 30%Benjamin List – 13%
Gerald R. Crabtree and
Stuart L. Schreiber – 20%
Daniel J. Danishefsky – 10%
Other – 26%
Who do you think will win the Nobel Prize in Physics?
Yakir Aharonov andSir Michael V. Berry – 24%
Juan Ignacio Cirac and
Peter Zoller – 27%
Andre K. Geim and
Kostya Novoselov – 14%
Sumio Iijima – 14%
Other – 20%
Who do you think will win the Nobel Prize in Economics?
Ernst Fehr andMatthew J. Rabin – 23%
William D. Nordhaus and
Martin L. Weitzman – 19%
Elhanan Helpman and
Gene M. Grossman – 13%
Dale W. Jorgenson – 13%
Other – 32%
Do you think citations can play a role in accurately predicting the science Nobel Prizes ?
Yes – 57%No – 43%